
Tariffs, Taxes, and To Do's
Historically, the first year of a president's term has been a fairly average one for the stock market. In his 2016 market analysis, Lee Bohl found that the first year of a presidential term yielded an average return of 6.7% from 1933 to 2015. This is modest compared to the third year of a president's term which historically has earned the highest return at 13.5%, but signifcant compared to the second-year average return of 3.3%. However, averages do not tell the whole story.